Update: Mauritius will be in Class 3 cyclone warning tomorrow morning wednesday 17jan2018 at 4am.


The wind has been significantly picking up these last past hours on the East Coast of Mauritius. It was confirmed this morning at 4am that we are in Class 2 cyclone warning – all schools have been closed and the general public is adviced to get ready. Unfortunately all the agencies now agree and the probability of a direct hit on both Mauritius and Reunion Island is becoming reality – still uncertain though but all the agencies have agreed most of the time, so we will see.

Here is the latest forecast by JWTC (1pm local time). BERGUITTA is now located 450km East-North-East from Mauritius (according to the latest Mauritian weather bulletin, the you can read here). The cyclone has been downgraded to Tropical Cyclone – however, the pros believe it is due to the eyewall replacement cycle.

Latest forecast of BERGUITTA at 1pm by JWTC

Latest forecast of BERGUITTA at 1pm by JWTC

Eye wall replacement cycle

So because i had no clue what they were talking about, well i looked it up! It means that a new eye begins to develop around the old eye. This causes the cyclone to slowdown. It happens to intense tropical cyclones or larger ones. If I understood well, it reduces the speed, thus the category – however it can spread the cyclone force winds out, thus hurting a larger area. The cyclone can also bounce back to a higher category again. You can read more about this phenomenon on theweatherprediction.com.

You can read more about the Mauritian Cyclone Warning System and how to prepare yourself on my former post: Top Things to know about cyclones in Mauritius

Pictures of the Ocean

I went out for a little walk to get some pictures of the Ocean. The water has risen drastically – rocks on which the kids usually play are covered by water and the waves on the reef are getting quite impressive.  Considering the cyclone is still over 400km away, I wonder what it is going to look like tomorrow morning.

View of Indian Ocean on East Coast of Mauritius before cyclone BERGUITTA

View of Indian Ocean on East Coast of Mauritius before cyclone BERGUITTA

As you can see we have a reef out several hundreds meters from the shore and yet big waves are already crashing. There is a 2m drop at the rocks! I was listening to a Meteorologist from Reunion Island this morning saying that waves over 7m high, so I guess we will have that here too…. The hotel next door to where i was walking has put sand bags and taken all their sun loungers away.

View of Indian Ocean on East Coast of Mauritius before cyclone BERGUITTA

View of Indian Ocean on East Coast of Mauritius before cyclone BERGUITTA

What’s next

The next weather report will be out around 4pm local time (GMT+4) and we will see then if the system is speeding up or still taking it’s sweet time! The next step is Class 3 cyclone warning and then it starts to get serious. For the moment the center of BERGUITTA should arrive around Mauritius on The night from Wednesday to Thursday and on Reunion Island Thursday late morning.

I have been looking around for satellite images and found EUMETSAT – it is actually really cool and you can get images for all over the world!

EUMETSAT satellite image of the world, with cyclone BERGUITTA over Mauritius

EUMETSAT image – Source” 2018 Copyright EUMETSAT 2018

How awesome is that? and How humbling! We are so tiny tiny and insignificant… You can clearly see how BERGUITTA is starting to influence our weather now on both islands.

This is one of the reasons why I enjoy blogging so much, I discover new stuff all the time – things I would never have thought about looking into, had I not been blogging! Anyways, stay safe wherever you are!

Posted by Julz

Hi! Hope you are enjoying my travel blog about Mauritius! I am a Danish Expat, mum of 2. Currently we live in Mauritius and we absolutely love it. I am taking you around this beautiful island and also other travels we enjoy!

6 Comments

  1. May you all stay safe and experience zero damage.

    Like

    Reply

    1. Thank you 🙏🏼 the first clouds from the cyclone are arriving on the island – and the wind is picking up

      Liked by 1 person

      Reply

  2. I recently subscribed to your Facebook group as I love reading about travelling with kids. Lo and behold, I saw you are living in Mauritius where my mother-in-law is from. It is also exciting to hear about La Reunion where hubby is from. Will update him tonight about the cyclone in his hometown where his parents are.

    Like

    Reply

  3. […] You can read more about the warning levels on my post about cyclones here, and about the evolution of cyclone BERGUITTA by clicking here. […]

    Like

    Reply

  4. […] on my blog: Information on cyclone warnings in Mauritius and where to get the most accurate info My first update on BERGUITTA My second update on BERGUITTA Sources for this posts: defimedia.com, windy.com, Metservices […]

    Like

    Reply

Thanks for your comments!

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s